Probability is Personal

Slightly More Realistic Personal Probability

A person required to risk money on a remote digit of n would, in order to comply fully with the theory [of personal probability] have to compute that digit, though this mould really be wasteful if the cost of computation were more than the prize involved. For the postulates of the theory imply that you should behave in accordance with the logical implications of all that you know. Is it possibl...

Is perception personal?

Listeners categorized an /s–S/ continuum in front of the vowels [u, a, i] spoken by two male and two female speakers. One of each gender was more typical than the other. Listeners’ adjustments for these vowel and speaker characteristics were associated to their self-ratings with respect to both the specific personality traits measured by the Autism-Spectrum Quotient and the more general Big Fiv...

What is Probability ?

What is probability? Physicists, mathematicians, and philosophers have been engaged with this question since well before the rise of modern physics. But in quantum mechanics, where probabilities are associated only with measurements, the question strikes to the heart of other foundational problems: what distinguishes measurements from other physical processes? Or in more formal terms: when are ...

PROBABILITY IS SYMMETRY On Foundations of the Science of Probability

What Kind of Uncertainty Is That? Using Personal Probability for Expressing One’s Thinking about Logical and Mathematical Propositions

What is essential for the future development of probability considerations, as for the development of science in general, is that trained minds play upon its problems freely and that those engaged in discussing them illustrate in their own procedure the characteristic temper of scientific inquiry—to claim no infallibility and to exempt no proposed solution of a problem from intense criticism. S...